Richland Creek Intelligence

USGS 07055875 · Richland Creek near Witts Springs, AR

Data age: 1 min

0.17 ft
Too Low
0.0 cfs (est. from stage; USGS not publishing flow)
⬇ -0.01 ft/hr
as of 5:00 AM CT
Gauge precip: 0.00" (24hr) · 0.0" (1hr rate)
Too Low: < 3.0 ft
Low but Floatable: 3.0–4.0 ft
Optimal: 4.0–6.0 ft
Above Recommended: > 6.0 ft

Past 24 Hours

peak 0.21
24h ago12hnow
Range over 24 h: 0.17–0.21 ft

Watershed Rainfall

Zone1hr3hr6hr12hr24hrQPF 24hr
Richland Mainstem0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.32"
Twin Devils0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.32"
Falling Water0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.33"
Outlet Richland Creek0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.31"
Combined — All Richland Zones0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"
Combined incl. Falling Water (24hr): 0.000" · MRMS file: 2026-09-10T10:00:00Z

Watershed Rainfall Map

QPE = Precipitation Estimate (observed) · QPF = Precipitation Forecast

0"
0.01–0.24"
0.25–0.49"
0.50–0.99"
1.00–1.99"
2.00"+

⚙️ Physics Predictor

No upstream rainfall to drive a prediction

Ground: VERY DRY ground (by pre-storm baseflow 0.0 cfs; about 1.1" of rain soaks in before runoff starts)

Engine: v2 (offline-fit convolution in cfs); discharge taken as 0 cfs — stage below the USGS rating floor, USGS not publishing flow
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📊 Empirical Forecast

No rise indicated by recent rainfall

Soil: DRY · Confidence: CALIBRATED

Details

Calibrated chance the gauge rises from BELOW_LOW to LOW within the next 12 h, from 6 h rainfall (0.0 mm) at this gauge level (history stratum gq0); ground DRY by 7-day rain. Experimental.

LevelChanceRain before past rises
6 h total · p25 / p50 / p75
n
LOW~0%0.39"0.56"0.85"77
all conditions
MEDIUM~0%fewer than 10 past rises on record
HIGH~0%fewer than 10 past rises on record

Rain columns are context, not a probability: the 6-h rain that fell before past rises to each level (quartiles of n past rises; the population is noted under n). This basin: 0.00" so far in the last 6 h. The Chance column is the calibrated forecast.

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DISCLAIMER: This site provides creek condition estimates for informational purposes only. Gauge data, radar estimates, and forecasts may be delayed, inaccurate, or unavailable. Always exercise independent judgment. Whitewater kayaking is inherently dangerous — water conditions can change rapidly. This site and its maintainers assume no responsibility for decisions made based on information displayed here.