Big Piney Creek Intelligence

USGS 07257006 · Big Piney Creek at Hwy 164 near Dover, AR

Data age: 3 min

USGS GAUGE
-0.26 ft
1 cfs
Gauge Rate of Change: — steady
as of 4:45 AM CT
Gauge precip: 0.00" (24hr) · 0.00" (1hr rate)
Too Low
Tier breakpoints: <2.0 ft Too Low · 2.0–3.0 ft Low but Floatable · 3.0–5.0 ft Optimal · >5.0 ft Above Recommended
Recession
Already below thresholds
Too Low
Tier breakpoints: <1.2 ft Too Low · 1.2–2.0 ft Low but Floatable · 2.0–5.0 ft Optimal · >5.0 ft Above Recommended
Recession
Already below thresholds

Watershed Rainfall

Sub-Watershed1hr24hrQPF 24hr
Moccasin Creek0.00"0.00"0.25"
Cow Creek-Big Piney Creek0.00"0.00"0.26"
Haw Creek-Big Piney Creek0.00"0.00"0.25"
Indian Creek0.00"0.00"0.25"
Spring Creek-Big Piney Creek0.00"0.00"0.25"
Mill Creek-Big Piney Creek0.00"0.00"0.25"
Willis Creek-Big Piney Creek0.00"0.00"0.26"
Walnut Creek0.00"0.00"0.26"
Curtis Creek-Big Piney Creek0.00"0.00"0.26"
Hurricane Creek0.00"0.00"0.27"
Basin total — 1hr: 0.00" · 24hr: 0.00"

Watershed Rainfall Map

QPE = Precipitation Estimate (observed) · QPF = Precipitation Forecast

0"
0.01–0.24"
0.25–0.49"
0.50–0.99"
1.00–1.99"
2.00"+

3-Day Forecast

Updated: 12:44 AM CT

Pelsor
Overnight
75°
Mostly Clear
SSW 0 to 5 mph
Thursday
90° / 69°
Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
WNW 0 to 5 mph
Friday
85° / 69°
Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
S 0 to 5 mph
Dover
Overnight
75°
Clear
NE 0 to 5 mph
Thursday
97° / 69°
Mostly Sunny then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
NW 0 to 5 mph
Friday
90° / 68°
Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
S 0 to 5 mph

📊 Empirical Forecast

No rise indicated by recent rainfall

Soil: DROUGHT · Confidence: CALIBRATED

Forecast applies to Below Longpool thresholds. Above Longpool needs more rise.

Details

Calibrated chance the gauge rises from BELOW_LOW to LOW within the next 30 h, from 24 h rainfall (0.0 mm) at this gauge level (history stratum gq0); ground DROUGHT by 7-day rain. Experimental.

LevelChanceRain before past rises
24 h total · p25 / p50 / p75
n
LOW~0%0.14"0.79"1.65"46
all conditions
MEDIUM~0%fewer than 10 past rises on record
HIGH~0%fewer than 10 past rises on record

Rain columns are context, not a probability: the 24-h rain that fell before past rises to each level (quartiles of n past rises; the population is noted under n). This basin: 0.00" so far in the last 24 h. The Chance column is the calibrated forecast.

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DISCLAIMER: This site provides creek condition estimates for informational purposes only. Gauge data, radar estimates, and forecasts may be delayed, inaccurate, or unavailable. Always exercise independent judgment. Whitewater kayaking is inherently dangerous — water conditions can change rapidly. This site and its maintainers assume no responsibility for decisions made based on information displayed here.