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Watershed Radar Predictions

Gauges: 8 min ago  |  Radar (QPE): 43 min ago  |  Forecast (QPF): 2.9 hrs ago

Radar: MRMS product 13:05 UTC Apr 27  |  Forecast: WPC QPF cycle 06z Apr 27  |  Updates every 15 min

DrainageStatusRecent Rain
(Past 7 days)		LocationRadiusLagEstimated Fallen (QPE)Forecast to Fall (QPF)TriggerDetail
1hr3hr6hr12hr24hr6hr12hr24hr
Big Piney Family
Upper Big PineyNo Alert1.67 in35.78N 93.28W4.0 km10-140.000"0.000"0.000"0.038"0.038"0.049"0.098"0.196"1.35" / 24hr0.04" in 24hr — 2% of 1.35" trigger (0.9x rain adj)
Haw CreekNo Alert1.55 in35.67N 93.28W2.0 kmNOW0.000"0.000"0.000"0.003"0.003"0.059"0.118"0.227"2.25" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.25" trigger (0.9x rain adj)
Hurricane (Newton) CreekNo Alert1.31 in35.79N 93.16W3.0 km6-80.000"0.000"0.000"0.020"0.020"0.069"0.128"0.266"1.5" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 1.50" trigger
Buffalo Family
Adkins DrainageNo Alert1.80 in35.81N 93.44W1.0 kmNOW0.000"0.000"0.000"0.009"0.009"0.039"0.078"0.156"2.25" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.25" trigger (0.9x rain adj)
Boen Gulf DrainageNo Alert1.59 in35.88N 93.39W1.0 kmNOW0.000"0.000"0.000"0.071"0.071"0.039"0.069"0.129"2.25" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.25" trigger (0.9x rain adj)
Upper BuffaloNo Alert1.83 in35.82N 93.47W4.0 km6-80.000"0.000"0.000"0.075"0.075"0.030"0.060"0.129"1.35" / 12hr0.07" in 12hr — 5% of 1.35" trigger (0.9x rain adj)
Beech CreekNo Alert1.50 in35.93N 93.46W2.0 kmNOW0.000"0.000"0.000"0.001"0.001"0.010"0.020"0.089"2.0" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.00" trigger
Cossatot Family
Upper CossatotNo Alert1.75 in34.42N 94.20W5.0 km8-100.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.010"0.059"0.167"1.12" / 12hr0.00" in 12hr — 0% of 1.12" trigger (0.9x rain adj)
Baker CreekNo Alert1.31 in34.36N 94.16W3.0 kmNOW0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.010"0.049"0.207"2.25" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.25" trigger
Kiamichi Family
Pine Creek OKNo Alert1.23 in34.49N 95.63W5.0 km4-60.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.010"0.030"0.030"2.0" / 12hr0.00" in 12hr — 0% of 2.00" trigger
Buck Creek OKNo Alert0.44 in34.39N 95.66W3.0 km4-60.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.020"0.040"0.040"2.4" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.40" trigger (1.2x rain adj)
Kings Family
Upper Kings RiverNo Alert1.79 in35.87N 93.58W3.0 km4-60.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.020"0.050"0.090"1.8" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 1.80" trigger (0.9x rain adj)
Osage CreekNo Alert1.47 in36.11N 93.31W1.0 kmNOW0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.040"2.5" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.50" trigger
Little Buffalo Family
West Fork Shop CreekNo Alert1.26 in35.90N 93.24W1.0 kmNOW0.000"0.000"0.000"0.038"0.038"0.059"0.108"0.216"2.5" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.50" trigger
EFLBNo Alert1.54 in35.85N 93.26W3.0 kmNOW0.000"0.000"0.000"0.030"0.030"0.079"0.158"0.256"1.8" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 1.80" trigger (0.9x rain adj)
Thomas CreekNo Alert1.50 in35.88N 93.35W2.0 kmNOW0.000"0.000"0.000"0.126"0.126"0.049"0.098"0.167"2.25" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.25" trigger (0.9x rain adj)
Mulberry Family
Spirits CreekNo Alert1.31 in35.68N 93.91W3.0 kmNOW0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.059"0.187"0.237"2.5" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.50" trigger
Richland Family
Richland MainNo Alert1.35 in35.75N 93.02W4.0 km5-70.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.251"0.290"0.428"1.5" / 12hr0.00" in 12hr — 0% of 1.50" trigger
Falling WaterNo Alert1.10 in35.70N 92.96W2.0 km4-60.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.369"0.399"0.595"1.75" / 12hr0.00" in 12hr — 0% of 1.75" trigger
Big Devils ForkNo Alert1.12 in35.83N 92.97W1.0 kmNOW0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.059"0.079"0.217"2.5" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.50" trigger
Long Devils ForkNo Alert1.18 in35.82N 92.99W1.0 kmNOW0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.118"0.148"0.296"2.5" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.50" trigger
Bobtail CreekNo Alert1.04 in35.77N 92.90W1.0 kmNOW0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.000"0.128"0.148"0.266"2.0" / 6hr0.00" in 6hr — 0% of 2.00" trigger
DISCLAIMER: This site provides creek condition estimates for informational purposes only. Gauge data, radar estimates, and forecasts may be delayed, inaccurate, or unavailable. Always exercise independent judgment. Whitewater kayaking is inherently dangerous — water conditions can change rapidly. This site and its maintainers assume no responsibility for decisions made based on information displayed here.

Page Details: This page uses Data collected from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor Quantitative Precipitation Estimation Data (MRMS QPE) and the Weather Prediction Center's Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (WPC QPF) system. It attempts to predict when certain Creeks in the State of Arkansas will be boatable. The WPC QPF provides an amount of precipitation that is "Forecast to Fall" in a 5km x 5km grid, in the next 6, 12, and 24 hours, centered on the Latitude and Longitude of the defined watersheds of Arkansas Creeks. Information about the WPC QPF can be found here. The MRMS QPE gives an "Estimated Fallen" amount of precipitation in a geographic area, defined by a latitude and longitude, and a circle around that point. The resolution of the MRMS QPE system is a square approximately 1km by 1km. Learn more about the MRMS System here. Gauge Data updates every 15 minutes, QPE Data updates every hour, and QPF data updates every 3 hours.

Caveats: It goes without saying, but this is a different approach to judging when a creek is in than the traditional method of looking at the nearest USGS gauge (That data is still available via the main Gauges page) but it attempts to address the shortfall in identifying runnable creeks, that don't have a gauge on them (Or the gauge is at the bottom of the run) and have a tendency to drop out before folks could get on. It is obviously quite experimental, and triggers, thresholds and location data likely will need to be updated and refined. Contact Dave if you've got thoughts on how this page can be improved with additional data, or refinement of the data that is here.

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