Hailstone (Upper Buffalo) — Predictions: 2026-08-07
Rise predictions issued: 3
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 0
Settled (18-h window passed): 3
Issued 2026-08-08 03:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
49 CFS |
20 CFS |
-28 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-08-08 03:51 |
2026-08-08 03:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.54" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (13 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.73" |
271 CFS |
02:43 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-08-08 02:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
220 CFS |
22 CFS |
-199 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-08-08 02:51 |
2026-08-08 02:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.54" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (13 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.73" |
271 CFS |
02:43 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-08-08 01:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
112 CFS |
22 CFS |
-91 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-08-08 02:51 |
2026-08-08 02:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.44" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (13 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.62" |
154 CFS |
02:34 |
HEAVY |