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Hailstone (Upper Buffalo) — Predictions: 2026-08-24

Rise predictions issued: 2
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 0
Settled (18-h window passed): 2

Issued 2026-08-24 08:21

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak CFS 20 CFS 2 CFS -19 CFS
Peak time 2026-08-24 08:51 2026-08-24 03:30

Moisture: DRY (0.34" 7-day, x0.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Engine:

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
1 0.32" 33 CFS 08:25 MODERATE

Issued 2026-08-24 07:21

Metric Predicted Actual Error
Peak CFS 20 CFS 2 CFS -19 CFS
Peak time 2026-08-24 08:51 2026-08-24 02:30

Moisture: DRY (0.34" 7-day, x0.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Engine:

Band contributions

Band Precip Rise Arrival Intensity
1 0.32" 33 CFS 08:25 MODERATE
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