Hailstone (Upper Buffalo) — Predictions: 2026-07-24

Rise predictions issued: 1
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 0
Settled (18-h window passed): 1

Issued 2026-07-24 15:21

Metric	Predicted	Actual	Error
Peak CFS	16 CFS	5 CFS	-11 CFS
Peak time	2026-07-24 15:51	2026-07-24 15:30	—

Moisture: DRY (0.13" 7-day, x0.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (11 events)
Engine: —

Band contributions

Band	Precip	Rise	Arrival	Intensity
1	0.13"	11 CFS	15:43	LIGHT