Hailstone (Upper Buffalo) — Predictions: 2026-07-14
Rise predictions issued: 2
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 0
Settled (18-h window passed): 2
Issued 2026-07-15 04:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
34 CFS |
15 CFS |
-19 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-07-15 04:51 |
2026-07-15 04:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.47" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (10 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.15" |
26 CFS |
04:21 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-07-15 03:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
35 CFS |
15 CFS |
-20 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-07-15 03:51 |
2026-07-15 03:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.47" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (10 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.15" |
26 CFS |
04:21 |
LIGHT |