Hailstone (Upper Buffalo) — Predictions: 2026-07-07

Rise predictions issued: 1
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 0
Settled (18-h window passed): 1

Issued 2026-07-07 21:21

Metric	Predicted	Actual	Error
Peak CFS	32 CFS	20 CFS	-12 CFS
Peak time	2026-07-07 21:51	2026-07-07 21:30	—

Moisture: DRY (0.37" 7-day, x0.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (9 events)
Engine: —

Band contributions

Band	Precip	Rise	Arrival	Intensity
1	0.09"	7 CFS	21:46	LIGHT