Hailstone (Upper Buffalo) — Predictions: 2026-06-24
Rise predictions issued: 3
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 0
Settled (18-h window passed): 3
Issued 2026-06-24 22:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
288 CFS |
300 CFS |
+12 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-24 22:51 |
2026-06-25 00:45 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (4.28" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (8 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.45" |
211 CFS |
21:49 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-24 21:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
410 CFS |
270 CFS |
-140 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-24 21:51 |
2026-06-24 23:45 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (4.27" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (8 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.44" |
207 CFS |
21:48 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-24 20:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
371 CFS |
270 CFS |
-101 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-24 21:51 |
2026-06-24 23:45 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (4.18" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (8 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.35" |
163 CFS |
21:34 |
MODERATE |