Hailstone (Upper Buffalo) — Predictions: 2026-06-25
Rise predictions issued: 3
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 0
Settled (18-h window passed): 3
Issued 2026-06-26 01:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
236 CFS |
191 CFS |
-45 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-26 01:51 |
2026-06-26 01:30 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (4.30" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (9 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.18" |
58 CFS |
01:11 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-06-25 23:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
235 CFS |
201 CFS |
-34 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-25 23:51 |
2026-06-25 23:30 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (4.20" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (9 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.08" |
26 CFS |
23:18 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-06-25 22:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
243 CFS |
203 CFS |
-40 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-25 22:51 |
2026-06-25 22:30 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (4.19" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (9 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.07" |
22 CFS |
23:03 |
LIGHT |