Hailstone (Upper Buffalo) — Predictions: 2026-06-18
Rise predictions issued: 3
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 0
Settled (18-h window passed): 3
Issued 2026-06-19 03:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
89 CFS |
80 CFS |
-9 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-19 03:51 |
2026-06-19 03:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.65" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (8 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.17" |
42 CFS |
02:55 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-06-19 02:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
114 CFS |
81 CFS |
-33 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-19 02:51 |
2026-06-19 02:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.65" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (8 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.17" |
42 CFS |
02:55 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-06-19 01:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
98 CFS |
83 CFS |
-15 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-19 02:51 |
2026-06-19 01:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.58" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (8 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.10" |
25 CFS |
02:28 |
LIGHT |