Hailstone (Upper Buffalo) — Predictions: 2026-06-13
Rise predictions issued: 3
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 0
Settled (18-h window passed): 3
Issued 2026-06-14 04:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
128 CFS |
90 CFS |
-38 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-14 04:51 |
2026-06-14 01:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.37" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (7 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.60" |
250 CFS |
03:59 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-14 03:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
258 CFS |
82 CFS |
-176 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-14 03:51 |
2026-06-14 00:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.37" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (7 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.60" |
248 CFS |
03:58 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-06-14 02:21
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak CFS |
139 CFS |
80 CFS |
-58 CFS |
| Peak time |
2026-06-14 02:51 |
2026-06-13 21:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.06" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (7 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.28" |
117 CFS |
03:18 |
MODERATE |