Richland Creek — Predictions: 2026-05-05
Predictions issued: 9
Settled (peak window passed): 9
Issued 2026-05-06 05:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.00 ft |
1.86 ft |
-0.14 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 16:39 |
2026-05-06 07:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.07" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: low — Seed coefficients only (1 calibrated events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.38" |
0.32 ft |
04:33 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.37" |
0.23 ft |
04:52 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-06 04:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.13 ft |
1.81 ft |
-0.32 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 04:39 |
2026-05-06 01:00 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.04" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: low — Seed coefficients only (0 calibrated events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.34" |
0.34 ft |
04:15 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.36" |
0.25 ft |
04:49 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-06 03:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.15 ft |
1.81 ft |
-0.34 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 04:39 |
2026-05-06 01:00 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.03" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: low — Seed coefficients only (0 calibrated events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.34" |
0.34 ft |
04:15 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.33" |
0.23 ft |
04:43 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-06 02:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.91 ft |
1.78 ft |
-0.13 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 03:39 |
2026-05-05 23:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.87" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: low — Seed coefficients only (0 calibrated events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.22" |
0.22 ft |
03:55 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.10" |
0.05 ft |
04:01 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-05-05 20:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.91 ft |
1.83 ft |
-0.08 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 07:39 |
2026-05-06 03:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.69" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: low — Seed coefficients only (0 calibrated events)
Issued 2026-05-05 18:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.90 ft |
1.81 ft |
-0.09 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 05:39 |
2026-05-06 01:00 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.69" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: low — Seed coefficients only (0 calibrated events)
Issued 2026-05-05 16:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.89 ft |
1.79 ft |
-0.10 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 03:39 |
2026-05-05 13:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.69" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: low — Seed coefficients only (0 calibrated events)
Issued 2026-05-05 15:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.33 ft |
1.79 ft |
-0.54 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 02:39 |
2026-05-05 13:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.69" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: low — Seed coefficients only (0 calibrated events)
Issued 2026-05-05 14:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.40 ft |
1.79 ft |
-0.61 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 01:39 |
2026-05-05 13:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.69" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: low — Seed coefficients only (0 calibrated events)