Empirical Forecasts — Richland Creek — 2026-05-19

Forecasts archived: 8
Settled (expiry passed): 8

Richland Creek

00:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 12.3 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

23:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 15.5 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

22:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 27.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

21:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 27.5 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

20:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 27.1 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence high - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

19:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 25.8 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence medium - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

18:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 22.4 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence medium - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

17:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 19.2 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence medium - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)