Empirical Forecasts — Richland Creek — 2026-05-10

Forecasts archived: 5
Settled (expiry passed): 5

Richland Creek

00:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 29.3 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence high - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 00:30 UTC)

23:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 29.3 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence high - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 23:45 UTC)

22:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 29.2 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence high - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 23:45 UTC)

21:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 29.2 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence high - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 23:45 UTC)

20:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 23.5 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence high - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 23:45 UTC)