Cossatot River — Predictions: 2026-05-23
Predictions issued: 13
Settled (peak window passed): 13
Issued 2026-05-24 05:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
4.23 ft |
4.10 ft |
-0.13 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-24 05:39 |
2026-05-24 00:15 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (3.40" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (18 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.25" |
0.21 ft |
05:18 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.17" |
0.07 ft |
06:36 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-05-24 02:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.87 ft |
4.14 ft |
+0.27 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-24 02:39 |
2026-05-23 22:45 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (3.40" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: medium — No prior events under SATURATED conditions
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.67" |
0.55 ft |
01:01 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.60" |
0.34 ft |
01:55 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-24 01:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.91 ft |
4.13 ft |
+0.22 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-24 01:39 |
2026-05-23 22:30 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (3.39" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: medium — No prior events under SATURATED conditions
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.66" |
0.54 ft |
00:49 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.58" |
0.32 ft |
01:35 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-24 00:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.94 ft |
3.99 ft |
+0.05 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-24 00:39 |
2026-05-23 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (3.36" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: medium — No prior events under SATURATED conditions
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.86" |
1.21 ft |
22:54 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.65" |
0.53 ft |
00:46 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.57" |
0.32 ft |
01:34 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-23 23:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.90 ft |
3.99 ft |
+0.09 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-24 00:39 |
2026-05-23 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (3.27" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: medium — No prior events under SATURATED conditions
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.76" |
1.07 ft |
22:15 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.61" |
0.50 ft |
00:24 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.54" |
0.30 ft |
01:12 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-23 22:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.76 ft |
3.63 ft |
-0.13 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-23 22:39 |
2026-05-23 19:30 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (3.10" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: medium — No prior events under SATURATED conditions
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.44" |
0.36 ft |
22:34 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.46" |
0.26 ft |
00:10 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-23 21:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.69 ft |
3.61 ft |
-0.08 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-23 21:39 |
2026-05-23 18:00 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (3.10" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: medium — No prior events under SATURATED conditions
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.56" |
0.78 ft |
20:26 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.44" |
0.36 ft |
22:34 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.46" |
0.26 ft |
00:10 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-23 20:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.84 ft |
3.60 ft |
-0.24 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-23 20:39 |
2026-05-23 17:30 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (3.09" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: medium — No prior events under SATURATED conditions
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.55" |
0.77 ft |
20:22 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.44" |
0.36 ft |
22:33 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.45" |
0.25 ft |
00:07 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-23 19:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.65 ft |
3.60 ft |
-0.05 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-23 20:39 |
2026-05-23 17:30 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (3.07" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: medium — No prior events under SATURATED conditions
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.53" |
0.75 ft |
20:16 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.43" |
0.36 ft |
22:31 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.45" |
0.25 ft |
00:04 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- low_floatable_up: 2026-05-23 19:39
Issued 2026-05-23 18:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.85 ft |
3.48 ft |
-0.37 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-23 18:39 |
2026-05-23 15:30 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (3.07" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: medium — No prior events under SATURATED conditions
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.79" |
2.14 ft |
17:57 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.53" |
0.75 ft |
20:16 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.43" |
0.36 ft |
22:31 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.45" |
0.25 ft |
00:04 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- low_floatable_up: 2026-05-23 18:39
Issued 2026-05-23 17:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
4.39 ft |
3.42 ft |
-0.97 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-23 17:39 |
2026-05-23 14:30 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (3.07" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: medium — No prior events under SATURATED conditions
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.79" |
2.14 ft |
17:57 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.53" |
0.74 ft |
20:14 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.42" |
0.35 ft |
22:28 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.43" |
0.24 ft |
00:00 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-23 17:39
- low_floatable_up: 2026-05-23 17:39
Issued 2026-05-23 16:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.96 ft |
3.42 ft |
-0.54 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-23 17:39 |
2026-05-23 14:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.95" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.74" |
2.56 ft |
15:55 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
0.68" |
1.39 ft |
17:45 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.42" |
0.44 ft |
20:00 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.30" |
0.19 ft |
22:10 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.29" |
0.12 ft |
23:40 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-23 16:39
- low_floatable_up: 2026-05-23 16:39
Issued 2026-05-23 15:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.23 ft |
3.06 ft |
-0.17 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-23 15:39 |
2026-05-23 12:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.60" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.20" |
0.58 ft |
15:12 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.30" |
0.61 ft |
17:12 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.09" |
0.06 ft |
19:12 |
LIGHT |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-23 15:39