Cossatot River — Predictions: 2026-05-22
Predictions issued: 9
Settled (peak window passed): 9
Issued 2026-05-22 20:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.08 ft |
3.05 ft |
-0.03 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-22 20:39 |
2026-05-22 17:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.49" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.62" |
0.38 ft |
19:36 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.67" |
0.28 ft |
21:01 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-22 20:39
Issued 2026-05-22 19:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.01 ft |
3.01 ft |
+0.00 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-22 19:39 |
2026-05-22 16:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.49" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.62" |
0.38 ft |
19:34 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.67" |
0.28 ft |
20:59 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-22 19:39
Issued 2026-05-22 18:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.92 ft |
3.01 ft |
+0.09 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-22 19:39 |
2026-05-22 16:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.49" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.55" |
0.58 ft |
17:31 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.62" |
0.38 ft |
19:34 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.67" |
0.28 ft |
20:59 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-22 17:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.95 ft |
2.87 ft |
-0.08 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-22 17:39 |
2026-05-22 14:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.49" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.57" |
0.60 ft |
17:12 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.61" |
0.38 ft |
19:30 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.67" |
0.28 ft |
20:57 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-22 16:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.97 ft |
2.75 ft |
-0.22 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-22 16:39 |
2026-05-22 13:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.48" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.58" |
0.62 ft |
16:54 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.64" |
0.39 ft |
19:10 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.70" |
0.29 ft |
20:34 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-22 15:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.97 ft |
2.75 ft |
-0.22 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-22 16:39 |
2026-05-22 13:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.45" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.66" |
1.34 ft |
14:19 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.56" |
0.60 ft |
16:37 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.60" |
0.37 ft |
18:54 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.69" |
0.29 ft |
20:15 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-22 14:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.90 ft |
2.66 ft |
-0.24 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-22 14:39 |
2026-05-22 11:15 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.38" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.57" |
1.17 ft |
13:50 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.50" |
0.53 ft |
16:12 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.54" |
0.33 ft |
18:37 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.61" |
0.26 ft |
19:56 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-22 13:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.13 ft |
2.64 ft |
-0.49 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-22 13:39 |
2026-05-22 10:15 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.24" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.47" |
0.96 ft |
13:14 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.38" |
0.40 ft |
15:31 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.36" |
0.22 ft |
17:49 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.41" |
0.17 ft |
19:03 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-22 13:39
Issued 2026-05-22 12:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.75 ft |
2.62 ft |
-0.13 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-22 12:39 |
2026-05-22 09:15 |
— |
Moisture: WET (2.06" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.29" |
0.60 ft |
11:54 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.20" |
0.15 ft |
14:03 |
LIGHT |
| 4 |
0.19" |
0.08 ft |
16:36 |
LIGHT |
| 5 |
0.22" |
0.06 ft |
17:36 |
LIGHT |