Empirical Forecasts — Big Piney Creek — 2026-05-19

Forecasts archived: 14
Settled (expiry passed): 14

Big Piney Creek

18:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 28.2 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence medium - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 18:30 UTC)

17:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 25.0 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence medium - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

16:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 14.2 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence medium - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

15:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 4.8 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

14:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 9.5 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence low - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

13:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 9.5 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band above_p75, confidence low - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

12:49 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 7.8 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

12:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 7.8 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

11:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 7.8 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

10:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 7.8 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

09:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 7.8 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

08:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 7.8 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

07:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 7.9 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 17:30 UTC)

06:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 24h: 7.9 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: low, crossed: 17:30 UTC)