Richland Creek — Predictions: 2026-09-06
Rise predictions issued: 2
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 0
Settled (18-h window passed): 2
Issued 2026-09-06 22:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
0.34 ft |
0.25 ft |
-0.09 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-09-06 22:50 |
2026-09-06 17:30 |
— |
| Gauge rose (≥ +0.10 ft over 0.25 ft) |
— |
no |
false alarm |
Moisture: DRY (0.26" 7-day, x0.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (19 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.28" |
0.12 ft |
22:30 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.16" |
0.03 ft |
22:45 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-09-06 21:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
0.34 ft |
0.25 ft |
-0.09 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-09-06 22:50 |
2026-09-06 16:30 |
— |
| Gauge rose (≥ +0.10 ft over 0.25 ft) |
— |
no |
false alarm |
Moisture: DRY (0.26" 7-day, x0.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (19 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.28" |
0.12 ft |
22:30 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.16" |
0.03 ft |
22:45 |
LIGHT |