Richland Creek — Predictions: 2026-08-24
Rise predictions issued: 5
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 0
Settled (18-h window passed): 5
Issued 2026-08-24 14:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
0.92 ft |
0.47 ft |
-0.45 ft |
| Peak flow |
— |
0 cfs |
— |
| Peak time |
2026-08-24 14:50 |
2026-08-24 09:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.56" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.27" |
1.91 ft |
13:48 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
1.55" |
1.72 ft |
13:51 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-08-24 13:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.15 ft |
0.47 ft |
-2.68 ft |
| Peak flow |
— |
0 cfs |
— |
| Peak time |
2026-08-24 13:50 |
2026-08-24 08:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.56" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.27" |
1.91 ft |
13:48 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
1.55" |
1.72 ft |
13:51 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-08-24 13:50
Issued 2026-08-24 12:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.07 ft |
0.47 ft |
-1.60 ft |
| Peak flow |
— |
0 cfs |
— |
| Peak time |
2026-08-24 13:50 |
2026-08-24 08:00 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.49" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.20" |
1.20 ft |
13:41 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
1.49" |
1.10 ft |
13:45 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-08-24 11:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.31 ft |
0.47 ft |
-0.84 ft |
| Peak flow |
— |
0 cfs |
— |
| Peak time |
2026-08-24 12:50 |
2026-08-24 08:00 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.99" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.76" |
0.76 ft |
12:57 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
0.88" |
0.54 ft |
12:53 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-08-24 10:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
0.77 ft |
0.47 ft |
-0.30 ft |
| Peak flow |
— |
0 cfs |
— |
| Peak time |
2026-08-24 11:50 |
2026-08-24 08:00 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.61" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.35" |
0.29 ft |
11:51 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.54" |
0.33 ft |
12:12 |
MODERATE |