Richland Creek — Predictions: 2026-06-22
Rise predictions issued: 5
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 0
Settled (18-h window passed): 5
Issued 2026-06-22 15:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.33 ft |
2.09 ft |
-1.24 ft |
| Peak flow |
— |
165 cfs |
— |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 15:50 |
2026-06-22 12:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.72" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (10 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.56" |
2.61 ft |
15:05 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
1.46" |
1.80 ft |
15:24 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-06-22 15:50
Issued 2026-06-22 14:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
4.27 ft |
1.94 ft |
-2.33 ft |
| Peak flow |
— |
135 cfs |
— |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 14:50 |
2026-06-22 11:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.62" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (10 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.46" |
2.45 ft |
14:53 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
1.38" |
1.70 ft |
15:14 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-06-22 14:50
- low_floatable_up: 2026-06-22 14:50
Issued 2026-06-22 13:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.19 ft |
1.94 ft |
-1.25 ft |
| Peak flow |
— |
135 cfs |
— |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 14:50 |
2026-06-22 11:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.50" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (10 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.33" |
1.48 ft |
14:41 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
1.26" |
1.04 ft |
15:05 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-06-22 14:50
Issued 2026-06-22 12:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.39 ft |
1.94 ft |
-0.45 ft |
| Peak flow |
— |
135 cfs |
— |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 14:50 |
2026-06-22 11:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.15" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (10 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.01" |
1.13 ft |
14:17 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
0.87" |
0.72 ft |
14:39 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-06-22 11:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.45 ft |
1.71 ft |
+0.26 ft |
| Peak flow |
— |
96 cfs |
— |
| Peak time |
2026-06-22 12:50 |
2026-06-22 09:45 |
— |
Moisture: DRY (0.49" 7-day, x0.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (10 events)
Engine: —
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.37" |
0.17 ft |
13:11 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.17" |
0.04 ft |
13:11 |
LIGHT |