← 2026-09-09

Empirical Forecasts — Richland Creek — 2026-09-10

Hourly records: 7 — claims (≥8 %): 0, no-rise-indicated: 7, not a forecast (gauge already within reach): 0
Settled (horizon passed): 0

Each hour the engine states the calibrated chance the gauge rises to the next level within its horizon. Below 8 % it says "No rise indicated"; those hours are graded on their miss rate, not as claims. A gauge sitting just under a level gets no probability (a crossing from there is not a rise the engine forecasts). Experimental.

Richland Creek

11:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (0.18 ft). Rain 6 h: 0.0 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 12 h ~0 % (below the 8 % claim line) - Pending until 2026-09-10 23:18 UTC

10:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (0.17 ft). Rain 6 h: 0.0 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 12 h ~0 % (below the 8 % claim line) - Pending until 2026-09-10 22:18 UTC

09:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (0.17 ft). Rain 6 h: 0.0 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 12 h ~0 % (below the 8 % claim line) - Pending until 2026-09-10 21:18 UTC

08:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (0.17 ft). Rain 6 h: 0.0 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 12 h ~0 % (below the 8 % claim line) - Pending until 2026-09-10 20:18 UTC

07:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (0.17 ft). Rain 6 h: 0.0 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 12 h ~0 % (below the 8 % claim line) - Pending until 2026-09-10 19:18 UTC

06:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (0.17 ft). Rain 6 h: 0.0 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 12 h ~0 % (below the 8 % claim line) - Pending until 2026-09-10 18:18 UTC

05:18 UTC — gauge tier below_low (0.17 ft). Rain 6 h: 0.0 mm (dry soil). - Forecast: No rise indicated — chance of LOW within 12 h ~0 % (below the 8 % claim line) - Pending until 2026-09-10 17:18 UTC

← 2026-09-09