Cossatot River — Predictions: 2026-08-24

Rise predictions issued: 4
No-rise claims (quiet / too light) issued: 0
Settled (18-h window passed): 4

Issued 2026-08-24 21:20

Metric	Predicted	Actual	Error
Peak height	1.96 ft	1.84 ft	-0.12 ft
Peak flow	—	4 cfs	—
Peak time	2026-08-24 21:50	2026-08-24 16:30	—

Moisture: NORMAL (0.85" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (38 events)
Engine: —

Band	Precip	Rise	Arrival	Intensity
2	0.23"	0.16 ft	21:55	LIGHT
3	0.29"	0.16 ft	00:02	MODERATE
4	0.32"	0.11 ft	02:02	MODERATE
5	0.30"	0.06 ft	03:31	LIGHT

Metric	Predicted	Actual	Error
Peak height	2.26 ft	1.84 ft	-0.42 ft
Peak flow	—	4 cfs	—
Peak time	2026-08-24 19:50	2026-08-24 14:30	—

Moisture: NORMAL (0.81" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (38 events)
Engine: —

Band	Precip	Rise	Arrival	Intensity
1	0.20"	0.50 ft	19:33	LIGHT
2	0.20"	0.13 ft	21:35	LIGHT
3	0.25"	0.13 ft	23:43	MODERATE
4	0.28"	0.09 ft	01:47	MODERATE
5	0.24"	0.05 ft	03:14	LIGHT

Metric	Predicted	Actual	Error
Peak height	1.96 ft	1.84 ft	-0.12 ft
Peak flow	—	4 cfs	—
Peak time	2026-08-24 18:50	2026-08-24 13:45	—

Moisture: NORMAL (0.65" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (38 events)
Engine: —

Band	Precip	Rise	Arrival	Intensity
1	0.07"	0.19 ft	18:26	LIGHT
2	0.07"	0.05 ft	20:32	LIGHT
3	0.09"	0.03 ft	22:48	LIGHT
4	0.09"	0.02 ft	00:58	LIGHT
5	0.10"	0.02 ft	02:30	LIGHT

Metric	Predicted	Actual	Error
Peak height	1.94 ft	1.84 ft	-0.10 ft
Peak flow	—	4 cfs	—
Peak time	2026-08-24 17:50	2026-08-24 13:45	—

Moisture: NORMAL (0.60" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (38 events)
Engine: —

Band	Precip	Rise	Arrival	Intensity
1	0.05"	0.14 ft	18:09	LIGHT