Richland Creek — Predictions: 2026-05-28
Predictions issued: 3
Settled (peak window passed): 3
Issued 2026-05-28 20:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
6.69 ft |
8.89 ft |
+2.20 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-28 20:50 |
2026-05-28 16:15 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (3.96" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (4 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.93" |
4.25 ft |
20:00 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
2.00" |
3.39 ft |
19:39 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- optimal_up: 2026-05-28 20:50
- above_recommended_up: 2026-05-28 20:50
Issued 2026-05-28 19:35
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
6.92 ft |
8.83 ft |
+1.91 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-28 20:05 |
2026-05-28 16:00 |
— |
Moisture: SATURATED (3.91" 7-day, x2.00)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (4 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
2.02" |
4.46 ft |
19:19 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
2.09" |
3.54 ft |
18:57 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- optimal_up: 2026-05-28 20:05
- above_recommended_up: 2026-05-28 20:05
Issued 2026-05-28 06:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.32 ft |
1.90 ft |
-0.42 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-28 06:39 |
2026-05-28 02:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.77" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (4 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.56" |
0.77 ft |
05:57 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.52" |
0.55 ft |
06:04 |
MODERATE |