Richland Creek — Predictions: 2026-05-19
Predictions issued: 13
Settled (peak window passed): 13
Issued 2026-05-20 03:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.65 ft |
2.19 ft |
-0.46 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 14:39 |
2026-05-19 22:15 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.72" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (2 events)
Issued 2026-05-20 02:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.30 ft |
2.20 ft |
-1.10 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 13:39 |
2026-05-19 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.72" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (2 events)
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-20 10:39
Issued 2026-05-20 01:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.89 ft |
2.20 ft |
-1.69 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 12:39 |
2026-05-19 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.72" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (2 events)
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-20 07:39
Issued 2026-05-20 00:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.61 ft |
2.20 ft |
-1.41 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 11:39 |
2026-05-19 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.72" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (2 events)
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-20 07:39
Issued 2026-05-19 23:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.46 ft |
2.20 ft |
-1.26 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 10:39 |
2026-05-19 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.68" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (2 events)
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-20 07:39
Issued 2026-05-19 22:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.20 ft |
2.20 ft |
-1.00 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 09:39 |
2026-05-19 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.65" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (2 events)
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-20 08:39
Issued 2026-05-19 21:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.37 ft |
2.20 ft |
-0.17 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 08:39 |
2026-05-19 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.59" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (2 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.20" |
1.98 ft |
20:21 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-19 20:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.95 ft |
2.20 ft |
+0.25 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 07:39 |
2026-05-19 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.41" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (2 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.01" |
1.11 ft |
19:51 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
1.19" |
1.01 ft |
19:34 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-19 19:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.44 ft |
1.59 ft |
-0.85 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-19 19:39 |
2026-05-19 16:00 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.24" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (2 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.82" |
0.90 ft |
19:23 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
1.04" |
0.88 ft |
19:13 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-19 18:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.46 ft |
2.20 ft |
-0.26 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 05:39 |
2026-05-19 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.10" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (2 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.70" |
0.77 ft |
19:07 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
0.90" |
0.76 ft |
18:55 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-19 17:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.40 ft |
1.37 ft |
-0.03 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-19 17:39 |
2026-05-19 14:00 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.60" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (2 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.24" |
0.16 ft |
17:39 |
LIGHT |
| 2 |
0.31" |
0.22 ft |
16:53 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-19 16:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.42 ft |
1.32 ft |
-0.10 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-19 16:39 |
2026-05-19 12:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.55" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (2 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.16" |
0.10 ft |
17:01 |
LIGHT |
| 2 |
0.30" |
0.22 ft |
16:51 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-05-19 15:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.41 ft |
1.32 ft |
-0.09 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-19 16:39 |
2026-05-19 12:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.51" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: medium — Limited calibration (2 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.11" |
0.07 ft |
16:36 |
LIGHT |
| 2 |
0.28" |
0.20 ft |
16:45 |
MODERATE |