Empirical Forecasts — Hailstone (upper Buffalo) — 2026-05-28

Forecasts archived: 4
Settled (expiry passed): 4

Hailstone (upper Buffalo)

09:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 11.6 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence low - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

08:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 15.4 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

07:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 16.5 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

06:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 16.6 mm (damp soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence low - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)