Cossatot River — Predictions: 2026-05-19
Predictions issued: 12
Settled (peak window passed): 12
Issued 2026-05-20 05:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
5.23 ft |
3.30 ft |
-1.93 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 09:39 |
2026-05-20 00:15 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.79" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (17 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 5 |
1.93" |
0.98 ft |
03:54 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- low_floatable_up: 2026-05-20 05:39
Issued 2026-05-20 04:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
4.74 ft |
3.30 ft |
-1.44 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 12:39 |
2026-05-20 00:15 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.79" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
1.73" |
1.28 ft |
02:25 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.95" |
0.99 ft |
03:52 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-20 04:39
- low_floatable_up: 2026-05-20 07:39
Issued 2026-05-20 03:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.54 ft |
3.30 ft |
-0.24 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 14:39 |
2026-05-20 00:15 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.79" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
1.73" |
1.28 ft |
02:25 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.95" |
0.99 ft |
03:52 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-20 03:39
- low_floatable_up: 2026-05-20 13:39
Issued 2026-05-20 02:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.18 ft |
3.23 ft |
+0.05 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 02:39 |
2026-05-19 23:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.77" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
1.73" |
1.27 ft |
02:24 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.94" |
0.98 ft |
03:50 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-20 02:39
Issued 2026-05-20 01:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.14 ft |
3.23 ft |
+0.09 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 02:39 |
2026-05-19 23:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.77" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
1.65" |
2.09 ft |
00:07 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
1.73" |
1.28 ft |
02:23 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.94" |
0.98 ft |
03:49 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-20 02:39
Issued 2026-05-20 00:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.28 ft |
2.50 ft |
-0.78 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-20 00:39 |
2026-05-19 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.74" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
1.62" |
2.06 ft |
00:01 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
1.69" |
1.25 ft |
02:15 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.89" |
0.96 ft |
03:41 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-20 00:39
Issued 2026-05-19 23:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.39 ft |
2.41 ft |
-0.98 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-19 23:39 |
2026-05-19 20:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.59" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
1.48" |
1.88 ft |
23:37 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
1.52" |
1.12 ft |
01:49 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.73" |
0.88 ft |
03:19 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-19 23:39
Issued 2026-05-19 22:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.98 ft |
2.41 ft |
-0.57 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-19 23:39 |
2026-05-19 20:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.46" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
1.37" |
2.24 ft |
21:24 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
1.36" |
1.15 ft |
23:19 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
1.39" |
0.68 ft |
01:29 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.59" |
0.54 ft |
03:01 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-19 21:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.49 ft |
2.34 ft |
-1.15 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-19 21:39 |
2026-05-19 18:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.36" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
1.28" |
2.09 ft |
21:12 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
1.26" |
1.07 ft |
23:04 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
1.29" |
0.63 ft |
01:16 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.48" |
0.50 ft |
02:49 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-19 21:39
- low_floatable_up: 2026-05-19 21:39
Issued 2026-05-19 20:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.45 ft |
2.32 ft |
-1.13 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-19 20:39 |
2026-05-19 17:15 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.27" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
1.18" |
1.92 ft |
21:01 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
1.18" |
0.99 ft |
22:55 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
1.22" |
0.60 ft |
01:10 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.39" |
0.47 ft |
02:41 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-19 20:39
- low_floatable_up: 2026-05-19 20:39
Issued 2026-05-19 19:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.11 ft |
2.32 ft |
-0.79 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-19 20:39 |
2026-05-19 17:15 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.88" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.75" |
1.23 ft |
20:21 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.80" |
0.68 ft |
22:20 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
0.81" |
0.40 ft |
00:39 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.96" |
0.33 ft |
02:15 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-19 20:39
Issued 2026-05-19 18:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.75 ft |
2.32 ft |
-0.43 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-19 20:39 |
2026-05-19 17:15 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.62" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (16 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.44" |
1.01 ft |
18:07 |
HEAVY |
| 2 |
0.58" |
0.95 ft |
20:07 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.61" |
0.51 ft |
22:03 |
HEAVY |
| 4 |
0.41" |
0.17 ft |
00:06 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.40" |
0.11 ft |
01:37 |
MODERATE |