Cossatot River — Predictions: 2026-05-06
Predictions issued: 14
Settled (peak window passed): 14
Issued 2026-05-06 22:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.71 ft |
2.59 ft |
-0.12 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-07 09:39 |
2026-05-06 17:15 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.70" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.20" |
0.10 ft |
22:33 |
LIGHT |
| 4 |
0.23" |
0.06 ft |
00:07 |
LIGHT |
| 5 |
0.24" |
0.05 ft |
02:03 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-05-06 21:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.82 ft |
2.59 ft |
-0.23 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-07 08:39 |
2026-05-06 16:15 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.70" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.20" |
0.19 ft |
20:31 |
LIGHT |
| 3 |
0.21" |
0.10 ft |
22:13 |
LIGHT |
| 4 |
0.24" |
0.07 ft |
23:30 |
LIGHT |
| 5 |
0.27" |
0.05 ft |
01:15 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-05-06 20:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.26 ft |
2.59 ft |
-0.67 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-07 07:39 |
2026-05-06 15:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.70" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.62" |
0.25 ft |
18:29 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.76" |
0.26 ft |
19:40 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-07 03:39
Issued 2026-05-06 19:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.07 ft |
2.59 ft |
-0.48 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-07 06:39 |
2026-05-06 15:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.62" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 5 |
0.79" |
0.27 ft |
18:00 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-05-07 05:39
Issued 2026-05-06 18:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.67 ft |
2.59 ft |
-0.08 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-07 05:39 |
2026-05-06 15:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.52" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 5 |
0.69" |
0.23 ft |
16:42 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-06 16:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.49 ft |
2.49 ft |
+0.00 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 16:39 |
2026-05-06 13:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.52" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.57" |
0.23 ft |
15:14 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.69" |
0.23 ft |
16:42 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-06 15:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.51 ft |
2.44 ft |
-0.07 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 15:39 |
2026-05-06 12:15 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.52" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.57" |
0.23 ft |
15:14 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.69" |
0.23 ft |
16:42 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-06 14:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.51 ft |
2.44 ft |
-0.07 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 15:39 |
2026-05-06 12:15 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.52" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.64" |
0.45 ft |
12:58 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.57" |
0.23 ft |
15:14 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.69" |
0.23 ft |
16:42 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-06 13:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.56 ft |
2.40 ft |
-0.16 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 13:39 |
2026-05-06 10:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.52" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.64" |
0.45 ft |
12:58 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.57" |
0.23 ft |
15:13 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.69" |
0.23 ft |
16:40 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-06 12:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.60 ft |
2.37 ft |
-0.23 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 12:39 |
2026-05-06 07:15 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.52" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.63" |
0.45 ft |
12:58 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.56" |
0.23 ft |
15:12 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.68" |
0.23 ft |
16:39 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-06 11:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.49 ft |
2.37 ft |
-0.12 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 12:39 |
2026-05-06 06:15 |
— |
Moisture: DRY (0.50" 7-day, x0.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.34" |
0.23 ft |
10:50 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.61" |
0.22 ft |
12:51 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.53" |
0.11 ft |
15:01 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.66" |
0.11 ft |
16:34 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-06 10:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.54 ft |
2.37 ft |
-0.17 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 10:39 |
2026-05-06 05:15 |
— |
Moisture: DRY (0.49" 7-day, x0.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.34" |
0.23 ft |
10:47 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.61" |
0.21 ft |
12:49 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.52" |
0.11 ft |
14:59 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.66" |
0.11 ft |
16:32 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-06 09:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.60 ft |
2.59 ft |
-0.01 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 20:39 |
2026-05-06 15:45 |
— |
Moisture: DRY (0.48" 7-day, x0.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.21" |
0.14 ft |
08:46 |
LIGHT |
| 2 |
0.34" |
0.23 ft |
10:47 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.60" |
0.21 ft |
12:48 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.50" |
0.10 ft |
14:56 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.63" |
0.11 ft |
16:29 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-05-06 08:09
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.47 ft |
2.59 ft |
+0.12 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-05-06 19:39 |
2026-05-06 15:45 |
— |
Moisture: DRY (0.17" 7-day, x0.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.09" |
0.06 ft |
08:12 |
LIGHT |
| 2 |
0.14" |
0.07 ft |
10:12 |
LIGHT |
| 3 |
0.23" |
0.08 ft |
12:12 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.13" |
0.02 ft |
14:12 |
LIGHT |
| 5 |
0.13" |
0.01 ft |
15:42 |
LIGHT |