Empirical Forecasts — Cossatot River — 2026-05-27

Forecasts archived: 6
Settled (expiry passed): 6

Cossatot River

02:18 UTC — current tier: low. QPE 6h: 26.1 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band p25_to_p50, confidence medium - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: medium, crossed: 03:00 UTC)

01:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 27.3 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence high - Outcome: MISSED_HIGHER (actual max: medium, crossed: 01:30 UTC)

00:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 29.3 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band p50_to_p75, confidence medium - Outcome: VERIFIED (actual max: medium, crossed: 03:00 UTC)

23:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 26.3 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p50_to_p75, confidence high - Outcome: MISSED_HIGHER (actual max: medium, crossed: 01:15 UTC)

22:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 9.2 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence high - Outcome: MISSED_HIGHER (actual max: medium, crossed: 01:15 UTC)

21:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 5.6 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence high - Outcome: MISSED_HIGHER (actual max: medium, crossed: 01:15 UTC)